The situation is clear: we have not convincingly addressed the climate debate
In the race to rubbish Copenhagen we should perhaps recognise that in the real world solving any problem is complex. The initial emotional reaction to the frustration is to condemn our political leaders out of hand for their narrowness, self-interest and lack of vision. It most certainly is better that the resolution of the climate summit is not perceived as a significant progression. Painful as it may be, we are clearly not deceived by a smoke and mirrors, politicians’ spun version.
Even if Copenhagen had been genuinely successful, we still could not change events for the next forty years
Our energy policies of the last three decades dictate, even if we achieved Zero Carbon today, events would not change perceptibly for the next four decades.
What we need to avert is reaching the tipping point of climate change, nominally 3 degrees, whereupon we may experience a free fall or utterly unpredictable potential collapse of all previously modelled outcomes.
All is not lost by the Copenhagen decisions, but it may take a natural disaster of unimaginable magnitude to refocus international opinion rather than rational debate.
It is vital that measured, scientific opinion continues to gather the growing evidence and that a scientific breakthrough, as yet not discovered, might mitigate our inability to resolve matters by reasoned behaviour change.
Copenhagen is not a failure that should be minimised
Our inaction will have terrible consequences. History, however, demonstrates that change will take place and the probability is that human existence will continue. For some nation states, communities and individuals the consequences will be disastrous. It would be a very conceited person who assumed that they or their particular self-interest would not be affected adversely.
It might not affect you but it will effect tens of millions and some of those people will ask WHY did we allow this to happen?
Get your excuses ready if you must, but they won’t change what you have enabled, unless we address the problems of climate and consumption today with even more vigour and determination. No Excuses.